From: Subject: SABCnews.com - sci_tech/science Date: Wed, 20 Apr 2005 23:42:09 +0800 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/related; type="text/html"; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0258_01C54602.91CC6E60" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2900.2180 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0258_01C54602.91CC6E60 Content-Type: text/html; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://www.sabcnews.com/sci_tech/science/0,2172,101581,00.html SABCnews.com - sci_tech/science
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Assessment a reminder of = plight facing=20 environment

April 07, 2005, 12:15

By David Dickson and Ehsan Masood
The = Millennium=20 Ecosystem Assessment provides a timely reminder of the = plight=20 facing the global environment. But its scare tactics = could=20 alienate those whose support is needed to reverse = current=20 trends.

Ever since the Intergovernmental Panel = on=20 Climate Change provided the scientific trigger that = led to the=20 Kyoto Protocol on reducing carbon emissions, other = bodies have=20 sought to emulate its success. Organisations such as = the=20 InterAcademy Council have used the experience to argue = the=20 case for similar initiatives in other scientific = fields where,=20 it is often claimed, a global scientific consensus = should=20 almost automatically form the basis for global action. = Such=20 has been the case with the Millennium Ecosystem = Assessment.=20

The idea for such a report began when = scientists=20 working for a group of international non-governmental=20 organisations, led by the US-based World Resources = Institute,=20 decided that they needed to get a message across to=20 politicians and decisions makers - particularly=20 in
developing countries. The message was that = dramatic=20 changes in policy and lifestyles are required if the = current=20 destruction of ecosystems is to be halted, if not = reversed.=20 The issues addressed in the assessment are obviously = vital for=20 the future of human life on the planet. In particular, = those=20 responsible for its
compilation point out - with=20 considerable justification - that a degraded ecosystem = increases the difficulty of communities escaping from = the trap=20 of poverty; polluted drinking water increases the risk = of=20 diseases, just as degraded soil makes food production = more=20 difficult.

Furthermore we live in a society = where=20 shock tactics are often required to communicate simple = ideas=20 in a sufficiently dramatic fashion to attract the = interests of=20 news editors and headline writers. Indeed the = importance=20 attached to operating in this way reflects how the = media has=20 become a prime channel for communicating information = to=20 policymakers. The problem with the assessment is that = there is=20 no clear scientific focus that leads directly to a = policy=20 agenda. In the case of global warming, the scientific=20 community established a consensus on critical issues = at the=20 heart of the debate, namely that man-made global = warming is=20 occurring at a particular rate and that certain = consequences=20 are likely unless this process is stopped. =

The=20 assessment highlights how natural ecosystems are under = threat
The ecosystem report spreads its net = more=20 widely. The result is a much broader picture. But it = also=20 means that attempts to simplify the assessment's = message tend=20 to slip into statements about human life being in = peril from=20 an unspecific threat, perhaps best characterised as = human=20 lifestyle. This may make for good headlines that talk = of the=20 world being, as one newspaper put it, being "on the = brink of=20 disaster". But it does not necessarily provide good = pointers=20 for policymakers wanting to know what practical steps = need to=20 be taken, and how urgently. The value of the = Millennium=20 Ecosystem Assessment lies in the way that it = highlights the=20 many different ways in which natural ecosystems are = under=20 threat. The litany it recites is certainly a grim one, = ranging=20 from warnings about the algal blooms caused by = excessive use=20 of nitrogen fertilisers to the fact that 60% of the = 'ecosystem=20 services' looked at in the assessment - each loosely = defined=20 as the benefits that humankind obtains from ecosystems = - are=20 currently being degraded or used unsustainably. Thus = even=20 though the assessment contains no new data, it = provides a=20 valuable synthesis of much available knowledge on = species and=20 ecosystems that already exists.

Equally = important is=20 the way that the report emphasises that one of the = main=20 reasons for the widespread destruction of biodiversity = is=20 that, in a materialistic, growth-oriented society,=20 biodiversity tends too often to be seen as a free = resource=20 that is there for the taking.

Attaching a = price to=20 environmental resources, argue environmental = economists, would=20 immediately reduce the pressure on them (in a similar = fashion=20 to the way that introducing a charge for cars entering = the=20 centre of London has dramatically reduced both traffic = congestion and air pollution in the British capital). = Finally,=20 the assessment will have done much to energise = ecosystems=20 research in developing countries. Abdul Hamid Zakri, = co-chair=20 of the assessment board, points out that about 30% of = its 1=20 400 scientists are from developing countries - and = that much=20 of the work for the report was done at the local level = in=20 developing countries.

The problem is that the = messages=20 in the report can become disconnected from = policymaking on the=20 ground. Part of the reason for this strategy has been=20 historical. In 1995, the United Nations environment = programme=20 with the help of conservation groups published a = comprehensive=20 inventory of species and ecosystems. This global = biodiversity=20 assessment was intended to inform policymaking, = particularly=20 through the new UN biodiversity convention that had = been=20 signed in Brazil three years earlier. But when the = convention=20 met for its fourth annual conference in Slovakia in = 1998,=20 delegates - most of whom came from developing = countries -=20 rejected the assessment. There was concern among = developing=20 countries that endorsing the global biodiversity = assessment=20 would allow international conservation groups a voice = in their=20 development - which they feared would mean more = emphasis on=20 conservation and less on development. The rejection = left its=20 authors frustrated. Soon afterwards a number of them = began to=20 plan what would become the millennium assessment, an = even more=20 comprehensive scientific assessment. This would seek = to=20 include officials from all of the UN = conservation-related=20 conventions right from the outset, and emphasise the = links=20 between species, ecosystems and quality of = life.

In=20 doing so, it would be more difficult for developing = countries=20 to ignore. The result is a document that argues that = the fight=20 against poverty will not be achieved unless ecosystem = decline=20 is reversed. Both are guided by a belief that this=20 environmental sustainability is very much an orphan = within the=20 broader developmental goals and needs its own = awareness=20 campaign. But the impact of the assessment on = policymakers and=20 policymaking in developing countries remains unclear. = This is=20 no longer because of the
involvement of = conservation=20 groups; many now play a major role in environmental = protection=20 in developing countries.

Main report too = large to be=20 meaningful to policymakers
It is more because = of=20 uncertainty over how the results will relate to = discussions=20 taking place in the context of the implementation of=20 individual UN treaties, such as conventions on = wetlands and=20 biodiversity. In this
respect, there seems to be a = risk=20 that the authors have not learned their lesson from = their=20 failure to excite policymakers back in 1995. Some = critics also=20 fear that the assessment may not make a significant = impact=20 outside the scientific community as it contains too = many=20 messages. Others complain that the main report was too = large-scale an exercise to be meaningful to national = and=20 local-level policymakers, and has been dominated by an = excitement with data gathering rather than placing the = data in=20 a real-world political context, which means working = with=20 officials in governments and listening to the needs of = users.=20

At that time, the warning that the world was = using up=20 its natural capital was based on the finite nature of = physical=20 resources. But the apocalyptic scenarios predicted = failed to=20 materialise, partly as a result of new
resource = finds (such=20 as natural gas), partly because of steps that have = since been=20 taken to reduce the use of raw materials through a = combination=20 of pricing and - just as important - scientific and=20 technological ingenuity. The warnings in the new = report are=20 very similar to those heard 30 years ago. But this = time, what=20 is held to be in finite supply is the ability of = ecosystems to=20 provide socially-valuable services. What is now needed = is a=20 set of policy measures designed to curtail ecosystem = damage,=20 linked to appropriate scientific and technological = innovations=20 that can chart a more environmentally-friendly way=20 forward.

The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment is = at its=20 most valuable when it sets out what some of these = developments=20 are likely to look like. The regional study of = ecosystems=20 services in Southern Africa sloganising for a = pragmatic=20 assessment of the links between ecosystems and human=20 well-being in the region.
It emphasises the need to = ensure=20 that the scales of environmental management need to be = matched=20 to ecosystem processes, and that the trade-offs -where = promoting one benefit can lead to a decrease in other = benefits=20 - needs to be carefully handled.

In contrast, = the=20 impact of the assessment is most at risk when it falls = into=20 hubristic sloganising along the lines of "scientists = have=20 shown that." with the rider that "governments must=20 therefore.=94. This approach risks undermining efforts = to ensure=20 that poverty alleviation and ecosystem preservation go = hand-in-hand. - SciDev.Net

=          =20 =
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